Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.170799 0.196177 0.225190 0.261064 0.304578 0.356098 0.422384
2025-04-13 0.129050 0.160618 0.200730 0.256473 0.333626 0.439312 0.599955
2025-04-20 0.107173 0.141454 0.188597 0.260367 0.371067 0.543149 0.848509
2025-04-27 0.093309 0.128945 0.181131 0.266791 0.411796 0.664429 1.184576
2025-05-04 0.083052 0.119131 0.174778 0.272138 0.450979 0.796928 1.620257
2025-05-11 0.075529 0.111879 0.170542 0.279215 0.494491 0.955028 2.225936
2025-05-18 0.068832 0.104743 0.164959 0.282172 0.530508 1.113649 2.974722
2025-05-25 0.063097 0.098285 0.159303 0.283440 0.563142 1.280661 3.931507
2025-06-01 0.057885 0.091984 0.152848 0.281564 0.588051 1.441505 5.082781
2025-06-08 0.053107 0.085842 0.145741 0.276770 0.604494 1.588518 6.417730
2025-06-15 0.050425 0.083118 0.144691 0.284841 0.656718 1.882870 9.126950
2025-06-22 0.046661 0.077980 0.138177 0.279161 0.669791 2.052207 11.540601
2025-06-29 0.044132 0.074966 0.135691 0.282892 0.713055 2.378553 16.400242
2025-07-06 0.041206 0.070908 0.130549 0.279210 0.733142 2.630539 21.907361
2025-07-13 0.039278 0.068607 0.128841 0.283977 0.783246 3.077672 33.112992
2025-07-20 0.037718 0.066876 0.128136 0.291287 0.846001 3.671640 53.925887
2025-07-27 0.036198 0.065073 0.127030 0.297310 0.907581 4.352754 90.967520
2025-08-03 0.034923 0.063651 0.126607 0.305250 0.981464 5.247778 170.500387
2025-08-10 0.033471 0.061717 0.124741 0.308568 1.038641 6.138491 320.777472
2025-08-17 0.032031 0.059684 0.122399 0.309990 1.089128 7.096239 641.651724
2025-08-24 0.030523 0.057381 0.119137 0.307888 1.122987 7.992621 1313.798475
2025-08-31 0.028974 0.054869 0.115095 0.302514 1.139019 8.760186 2723.335596
2025-09-07 0.028229 0.054083 0.115330 0.311561 1.236281 10.864624 15340.095421